Falcon Metals Limited Stock Performance

FALFF Stock  USD 0.59  0.59  20,245%   
Falcon Metals holds a performance score of 10 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -625.79, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Falcon Metals are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Falcon Metals is expected to outperform it. Use Falcon Metals jensen alpha and the relationship between the kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to analyze future returns on Falcon Metals.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Falcon Metals Limited are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Falcon Metals reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Falcon Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.18  in Falcon Metals Limited on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  58.82  from holding Falcon Metals Limited or generate 32677.78% return on investment over 90 days. Falcon Metals Limited is currently producing 17.4317% returns and takes up 128.1874% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Falcon, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falcon Metals is expected to generate 164.81 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 164.81 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Falcon Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Falcon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.59 90 days 0.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Falcon Metals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falcon Metals Limited has a beta of -625.79. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Falcon Metals Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Falcon Metals is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Falcon Metals Limited has an alpha of 359.4055, implying that it can generate a 359.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Falcon Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Falcon Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Metals Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.5980.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3779.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Falcon Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Falcon Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Falcon Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Falcon Metals Limited.

Falcon Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falcon Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falcon Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falcon Metals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falcon Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
359.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-625.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Falcon Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falcon Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falcon Metals Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Falcon Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Falcon Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (63.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Falcon Metals Limited has accumulated about 25.02 M in cash with (3.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Falcon Metals Fundamentals Growth

Falcon Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Falcon Metals, and Falcon Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Falcon Pink Sheet performance.

About Falcon Metals Performance

By analyzing Falcon Metals' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Falcon Metals' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Falcon Metals has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Falcon Metals has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Falcon Metals Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of mineral deposits in Australia. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia. Falcon Metals operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Falcon Metals Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Metals Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Falcon Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Falcon Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (63.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Falcon Metals Limited has accumulated about 25.02 M in cash with (3.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Falcon Metals' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Falcon Metals' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Falcon Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Falcon Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Falcon Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Falcon Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Falcon Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Falcon Metals' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Falcon Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Falcon Metals' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Falcon Metals' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Falcon Metals' price analysis, check to measure Falcon Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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